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France 'fell into mild recession in fourth quarter'

Estimate from the Bank of France differs from national statistics office INSEE which suggested that France just averted recession last year.

La rédaction de Mediapart

This article is freely available.

The French central bank repeated on Thursday its estimate that France fell into a mild recession at the end of 2012, putting contraction of the economy at 0.1 percent in the fourth quarter after equivalent estimated shrinkage in the third quarter, reports AFP.

The latest estimate from the Bank of France differs from data from the national statistics office INSEE which has suggested that France, which has the second-biggest eurozone economy, just averted recession this year with marginal intermittent growth.

Together, the sets of data suggest that the country is bumping along on the edge of recession when it urgently needs to achieve steady, stronger growth to generate activity, reduce high unemployment and raise tax revenues to reduce the public deficit.

The Socialist government switched the emphasis of its economic policy a few months after coming to power in May, focusing on the need to raise the competitive position of French industry to boost exports and correct a big trade deficit.

The central bank stood by its view that the country fell into mild recession on the basis of its latest monthly report in December on the state of activity in the industrial and services sector.

The bank's overall assessment of how the economy fared in the fourth quarter was the same as those it issued in November and October.

The bank had already said it believes the economy shrank by 0.1 percent in the third quarter from the previous three-month period.

The technical definition of recession is two quarters running of contracting output.

However, INSEE estimates that the economy grew by 0.1 percent in the three months from July to September, keeping France out of recession.

Read more of this report from AFP.